Today's analysis by Retron

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Tuesday. Issued 0447z, 9th May 2008.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge from the north covers the UK, leading to a mixture of ESE'lies and ENE'lies. The ridge persists over Scotland on day 6, leading to NE'lies for England and Wales and SE'lies elsewhere. A col covers the UK on day 7.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/profi/en/ukmo/pslv.html
MetO has a col over much of the UK, with SE'lies for Scotland from a ridge to the NE. On day 6 a trough moves NE'wards over the UK, with SE'lies in advance and westerlies following behind.

GFS: http://85.214.49.20/wz/pics/Rtavn1201.png
High pressure lies to the NE, with a strong ridge SE'wards over Scotland and Northern Ireland. ENE'lies and NE'liess are the result, followed by further NE'lies on day 6 as the high declines. By day 7 the high lies to the NW, with NE'lies persisting.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/profi/en/gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run shows SE'lies and SSE'lies for many, with a trough over Ireland and a high to the NE.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows easterlies and ENE'lies with a large high to the north.

In summary, the models show a showery outlook for parts of the south towards the end of next week as the nearby high declines and low pressure approaches from the SW. Further north things will stay settled for longer and it'll remain on the warm side for most.

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