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Analysis - Looking 5 days ahead into the weather models

Analysis provided by UKww member Retron
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Friday. Issued 0428z, 26/07/10.

ECMWF: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
WSW'lies cover the UK, with a low to the WNW of the UK. A trough moves eastwards on day 6, leading to NW'lies, followed by WNW'lies on day 7 as a ridge builds over the UK.

MetO: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The Met Office run shows a ridge over England and Wales with SW'lies as a result. A trough moves eastwards on day 6, resulting in WSW'lies over the UK.

GFS: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn1201.png
WSW'lies cover the UK as the result of a low to the north. Westerlies cover the UK on day 6 as a weak trough moves away to the east, followed by WNW'lies on day 7 with a ridge to the west.

GEM: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif
The UK lies under WSW'lies with a low to the NW.

JMA: http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run also shows WSW'lies, again due to a low to the NW.

In summary, the models show a trough moving across the UK into the weekend. Friday will see a NW/SE split (warmest and driest in the SE) and most areas will see rain as the trough moves eastwards through Friday night and Saturday. Sunday will see pressure rise from the west, with generally dry conditions for most.
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