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UKWW SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS




Defintion: severe weather is defined as any weather phenomenon or combination of phenomena that pose a significant risk of directly and/or indirectly causing one or more the following:

  • Human casualties (indirectly = increased risk of RTAs for example)
  • Damage to buildings and infrastructure
  • Significant disruption to the supply of basic utilities, namely water, electricity and telephone
  • Significant disruption to land-based travel, domestic, industrial and commercial activities

ADVANCED AND FLASH WARNINGS: DESCRIPTIONS

UKWW Advanced Watches and Warnings:
These are issued 36 hours* prior to an event's expected arrival. The minimum confidence level at which we issue is 40%.
(*This is not always humanly possible of course but we try to keep to it!)

Two sub-categories:
  • UKWW Weather Watch: see LH column of criteria (below).
  • UKWW Weather Warning: see RH column of criteria (below).
UKWW Flash Warnings:
  • Issued if weather event is actually occuring or about to occur within the next few hrs.
(*This may be for areas not included in earlier Warnings, or for upgrades from Watches to Warnings.)

UKWW - Watches and Warnings: Issuance Criteria
Severe Weather Type Criteria: Weather Watch Criteria: Weather Warning
Rainfall
  • 10 mm in 0-3 hours
  • 20 mm in 0-6 hours
  • 30 mm in 0-12 hours
  • 40 mm in 0-24 hours
  • 20 mm in 0-3 hours
  • 40 mm in 0-6 hours
  • 60 mm in 0-12 hours
  • 80 mm in 0-24 hours
Temperature
  • Freezes: Widespread low level daytime 2m air temperatures below 3C
  • Heatwaves: Widespread 2m air temperatures in excess of +32C
  • Freezes: Widespread low level daytime 2m air temperatures below 0C
  • Heatwaves: Widespread 2m air temperatures in excess of +34C
SnowFall
  • Snowfall rate, below 600m, of 2cm per hour or more.
  • Snow accumulation, below 600m, of 3 cm or more during a single snowfall event.
(* If snow looks to be restricted to "high ground" it is likely to affect roads between 300 and 600m above sea level.)
  • Snowfall rate, below 600m, of 4cm per hour or more.
  • Snow accumulation, below 600m, of 6 cm or more during a single snowfall event.
(* If snow looks to be restricted to "high ground" it is likely to affect roads between 300 and 600m above sea level.)
Blizzards
  • Blizzards are Warning-only
  • Snow falling in a wind greater than 35 knots (40mph) below the 600m contour or gusting to over 40knts (45mph), with attendant whiteout reducing visibility to less than 50-200m and high drifting of falling snow.
  • Snow not falling but high drifting of unconsolidated fallen snow - can sometimes be a major problem e.g. along sections of the A9 in Highland Scotland.
Freezing Rain / Ice
  • Not Applicable
  • Any freezing rain below the 600m contour - the slightest coating can cause multiple accidents and a rapidly-deteriorating situation.
Fog and Freezing Fog
  • Widespread long lasting (freezing) fog or fog patches with visibility less than 200m.
  • Widespread long lasting (freezing) fog or fog patches with visibility less than 100m.
Smog
  • Widespread dense smog, smoke, dust or poisonous chemical fumes with visibility less than 200m.
  • Widespread dense smog, smoke, dust or poisonous chemical fumes with visibility less than 100m.
Convective Storms
  • Straightline wind gusts of 50 knots (60 mph) or more.
  • We will mention hail, deadly C-G lightning in text where applicable
(NOTE: we use Rainfall Criteria for rain amounts)
  • Hail with a diameter of 15mm or more.
  • Straightline wind gusts of 60 knots (70mph) or more.
  • Tornadoes
  • C-G lightning
(NOTE: we use Rainfall Criteria for rain amounts these are issued as Flash Warnings where severe storms are being tracked)
Gales
  • Widespread (away from N and NW Scotland) of Straightline winds and/or widespread gusts, on land below 600m*, as follows:
  • Gales: Mean windspeed of 35 knots (40mph) or more, gusting to 50 knots (60mph) or more
(Note that the 600m contour includes all high-level trunk-routes such as the Trans-Pennine ones - high winds over land above that altitude are more of a hillgoer's concern.
  • Widespread Straightline winds and/or widespread gusts, on land below 600m*, as follows:
  • Severe Gales: Mean windspeed of 45 knots (50mph) or more, gusting to 60 knots (70mph) or more
  • Storm force winds**: Mean windspeed of 50 knots (60mph) or more, gusting to 60-70 knots (70-80mph) or more
(Note that the 600m contour includes all high-level trunk-routes such as the Trans-Pennine ones, -high winds over land above that altitude are more of a hillgoer's concern.)

UKww Warnings Team, revised January 2009
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